The satellite pictures show the evolution of several tropical low-pressure areas in between latitudes 5 to 15 degrees south.
The latest available numerical weather prediction models still have lot of uncertainties and indicate the following:
the tropical low-pressure area to the southwest of Diego Garcia is expected to move towards the south and is likely to intensify gradually next week. There is a low probability that the system intensifies into a Moderate Tropical Storm;
in the event, it reaches the Moderate Tropical Storm intensity next week, it will be named ‘DJOUNGOU’ while located far to the north of Rodrigues;
it may influence the weather at Rodrigues as from Tuesday 13 February.
Weather outlook for Saturday 10 February to Wednesday 14 February, 2024
Mauritius:
Passing showers, moderate at times.
Wind mainly easterly 20-30 km/h with gusts of 60 km/h.
Rodrigues:
Passing showers, becoming frequent as from Tuesday 13 February.
Wind east-south-easterly 35 km/h strengthening gradually with gusts of the order of 70 km/h.
The sea will deteriorate gradually with wave heights of the order of 5 metres as from Tuesday 13 February 2024.
Note:
There are significant uncertainties in both the track and intensity of the system.
